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A November tornado outbreak for the record books

Dozens of tornadoes touched down in the Midwest and Ohio Valley Sunday, killing eight and destroying hundreds of homes. The outbreak was one of the worst on record during November. The National Weather Service (NWS) issued over 400 severe weather warnings and logged over 600 reports of tornadoes, damaging winds, and/or large hail.

The most devastating tornado occurred in Washington, Illinois, where a tornado – with a preliminary rating of EF-4 (on the 0-5 scale) – damaged or destroyed 250-500 homes, according to the Associated Press. A second EF-4-rated twister touched down in New Minden, Illinois.

Historical perspective

Because the NWS is still evaluating tornado reports from Sunday, a final count of the actual number of tornadoes is not known. The NWS Storm Prediction Center (SPC) logged 81 reports, but some may be duplicates. Nevertheless, Sunday’s outbreak will probably rank among top 5 biggest outbreaks on record for the month.

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Here is the current top 5 list (courtesy weather.com), not including Sunday’s outbreak:

5. Nov. 27-28, 2005: 56 tornadoes
4. Nov. 23-24, 2001: 66 tornadoes
3. Nov. 9-11, 2002: 82 tornadoes
2. Nov 23-24, 2004: 93 tornadoes
1. Nov 21-23, 1992: 105 tornadoes

The EF-4 tornadoes that touched down in Washington and New Minden, Ill. are two of only 22 EF-4 or higher tornadoes to occur in November on record. The Washington, Ill. twister is the third most northerly EF-4 to occur on record in November, noted The Weather Channel’s Jim Cantore on Twitter.

The tornadoes are the only two EF-4s to form in Illinois in November in modern records.

Victor Gensini, a professor of meteorology at the College of DuPage, tweeted that of the 194 tornadoes warnings issued in Illinois in 2013, 101 were hoisted Sunday – some 52 percent!

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Sunday’s outbreak should rank among the three biggest of 2013. Although the total number of tornadoes this year is well below average, the number of violent tornadoes (EF-4 or higher) is above average, with 9 total, compared to the 30-year average of 7.7.

A very strong cold front sliced across the central and eastern U.S., clashing with warm, mild air out ahead of it. A strengthening area of low pressure along the front, helped to generate large amounts of low level spin. At high altitudes, an extremely powerful jet stream – roaring along at around 140 mph – energized the storm system.

The volatile combination of atmospheric ingredients prompted the National Weather Service Storm Prediction Center to place most of Indiana, eastern Illinois, and western Ohio under a high risk of severe thunderstorms.

This was just the fifth high risk day designated by SPC in November on record (since 1989); the last such issuance was Nov. 15, 2005.

Accurate forecasts

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The NWS did an outstanding job identifying the potential for multiple strong, fast-moving tornadoes and highlighting the high risk area. The greatest concentration of tornadoes and damaging wind reports occurred exactly where the NWS predicted.

Chicago Bears’ controversy

Despite the forecasts for hazardous weather in Chicago and a dangerous line of thunderstorms approaching the Soldier Field, the NFL did not delay the start of the game between the Chicago Bears and Baltimore Ravens.

Instead, it waited to evacuate fans to concourses until a warning had been issued and a storm was practically on top of the stadium.

No fans were hurt, but the NFL was hit by sharp criticism from meteorologists and some media affiliates.

Drew: Unreal that smart people who run #NFL allowed this game to begin. Getting 60k under cover safely doesn’t happen in 5 mins. — WNST (@WNST) November 17, 2013

Watching the NFL handle the severe weather at the #Bears game is giving the Obamacare rollout a run for its money in incompetence

— Ari Sarsalari (@AriWeather) November 17, 2013

Hey @NFL, next time, let's not wait until the storm is right on top of the stadium to delay the game.

— Rick Mitchell (@RickMitchellWX) November 17, 2013

Damage video and photos

Damage in Washington, Ill. via photographer using Google Glass

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Tornado videos

Additional video available at USTornadoes.com: Videos from the November 17, 2013 tornado outbreak

Deadly storms strike Midwest

(CWG’s Ian Livingston contributed to this post)

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Chauncey Koziol

Update: 2024-08-19